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With interest rates expected to continue rising, is there any reason to expect BND and BNDX to eventually turn around sometime in 2019 and start rising? I'm tempted to replace them both with a Vanguard Target Retirement fund, which have a percentage of bonds but have not turned negative like the BND's. I've been doing some self-education in the index investing arena recently and came across this article by Betterment's Dan Egan:

In terms of current income, BNDX has fallen way short compared to BND.

Re: Why BNDX (TOTAL INTL BD) has had better 5 year returns than BND (Total Bond Market ETF) despite lower SEC yield. No, you shouldn't sell because the yield of your safer funds rises. 15. Can anyone explain why that's not happening? *13-Week Price Moves - 52 Week Price Change - quote-bot by echoapollo.

$10,000 invested in BNDW would have resulted in $11,453 by now. VFIFX versus VTI, VXUS, BND, BNDX. This equates to a compound annual growth rate of 8.95%. BNDX is up over any period longer than six months. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast, Press J to jump to the feed. Or is it likely that they will continue to drop? Both BND and BNDX are ETFs. I was using these as some of the "safe" ETF's in my portfolio. Of course, this is a phenomenal growth rate for bonds.

3 years ago. BNDX is also less volatile than BND and experiences lower drawdowns. johnsmithsf Posts: 53 Joined: Sat Jan 14, 2017 7:51 pm. The yield curve shows you the yield of bonds of different durations. 4. Learn about BNDX with our data and independent analysis including price, star rating, asset allocation, capital gains, and dividends. With interest rates expected to continue rising, is there any reason to expect BND and BNDX to eventually turn around sometime in 2019 and start rising?

Currently, BNDX has an SEC yield of 0.93% vs. 3.13% for BND. See how 9 model portfolios have performed in the past. Gonna piggyback on OP's question for a related one: I was looking at the charts for $VFISX and $VBISX and I was surprised to see that they've been sliding down for all of 2018. Compare and contrast: BND vs BNDX. No, a target date fund with large amounts of equity is not a good replacement for an all bond allocation, if safety is your goal. Get answers to common ETF questions

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Investing. With a rising-rate environment and increased volatility in the stock market, I would expect the opposite: that short-term bonds be on the rise. By using our Services or clicking I agree, you agree to our use of cookies.

The point is that although short term bonds don't move strongly, they are more correlated to cash interest rates. A bond's price change is linked to its yield and for a given change in yield, longer duration bonds change in price more. Overall, BNDX performs better than BND with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.57% vs. 4.16%. I've been holding $BND and $BNDX in a Vanguard IRA for a few years.

You can see that short term yields have risen much more than long term yields. Or is it likely that they will continue to drop? Below is the comparison between BND and BNDX. Short term bonds incorporate those gradually because future hikes only affect the end of their lifetime, while long term bonds will price them in and even outlive the forecastable rate cycle.

Cookies help us deliver our Services. But bonds of different durations do not all change yield in the same way, especially in response to known events like federal funds rate hikes. VFIFX versus VTI, VXUS, BND, BNDX. BND vs. BNDX – Portfolio Final Balance. Archived. u/RBEnow. Compare ETFs vs. mutual funds. Those funds you ask about 2 years duration and are short enough to be directly affected by each rate hike but not short enough to smoothly benefit from the higher rates like a <1 year ultrashort term fund would. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. BND has a lower expense ratio than BNDX (0.04% vs 0.08%). On the other hand, if you show the chart with dividends you'll see that while the price is down, they're about even in total return now since they've had some time to digest the rising rates. Cheers. BND has a lower 5-year return than BNDX (4.1% vs 4.41%). Top. Topic Author.

But the performance for the past 2 years has been negative, even after factoring in the dividends. Investing. Selling all BND to chase past returns of BNDX would not be the right choice in my opinion. If you want greater stability than aggregate bonds, short term bonds like BSV or VGSH or ultrashort term bonds/money market like VMMXX would work better. This is called flattening.